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DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20190624T080000
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SUMMARY:The MJO and Equatorial Waves in the CFSv2
DESCRIPTION:Dr. Carl Schreck\nNorth Carolina State University\nWednesday July 24, 2019, 12 PM\nESSIC Conference Room 4102, 5825 University Research Ct, College Park, MD 20740\nAbstract:\nThe MJO and equatorial waves are the dominant modes of subseasonal tropical variability. Since 2011, ncics.org/mjo has provided diagnostics for identifying and predicting these modes. It uniquely applies Fourier filtering to a blend of observations and CFSv2 forecasts. These diagnostics are served to more than 500 monthly users, including CPC, NHC, the 14th Weather Squadron, the private sector, and meteorological agencies in more than 20 countries. This seminar will showcase the diagnostics available on ncics.org/mjo. \n \nSimilar diagnostics can also be applied to CFSv2 hindcasts to understand the sources of skill within the model. This seminar will demonstrate that most of the CFSv2’s rainfall skill is derived from low-frequency stationary patterns. The MJO provides some added skill in Weeks 1–2, but most of the model’s simulated higher frequency variability actually detracts from the skill after Week 1.\n \nBio-sketch:\nDr. Schreck investigates tropical weather and its impacts around the globe. He is particularly interested in identifying and predicting the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and equatorial waves. Dr. Schreck engages with partners in private industry to explore how these systems can improve long-range forecasts of weather risk over the United States, including hurricanes, extreme precipitation, and extreme temperatures. He also partners with forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and National Hurricane Center to improve extended forecasts of tropical cyclogenesis and tropical rainfall. Dr. Schreck joined CISESS at NCSU in 2010 after completing his PhD at the University at Albany.\n \nContact:\nIf you would like an individual meeting with Carl before or after the seminar, please contact Debra Baker (drb@umd.edu, 301.405.5397) for an appointment. Dr. Berbery hosts the seminar. \n \nWebinar info: \nEvent site: http://go.umd.edu/schreck\nEvent number: 732 303 563\nEvent password: essic\n——————————————————-\nTo join the online event\n——————————————————-\n1. Click here to join the online event.\nOr copy and paste the following link to a browser: \nhttps://umd.webex.com/umd/onstage/g.php?MTID=ea973f94a6b661244574cfa0958d19ca5\n2. Click “Join Now”.\n——————————————————-\nTo join the audio conference only\n——————————————————-\nUS Toll: +1-415-655-0002\nGlobal call-in numbers:\nhttps://umd.webex.com/umd/globalcallin.php?MTID=e6ddccc27023bb4631d031050de23c075\nAccess code: 732 303 563\n——————————————————-\nFor IT assistance\n——————————————————-\nCazzy Medley: cazzy@umd.edu\nTravis Swaim: tswaim1@umd.edu\n\nFollow ESSIC:\nESSIC homepage: http://essic.umd.edu/\nESSIC seminar schedule/archive: http://go.umd.edu/essicseminar\nESSIC seminar site: https://go.umd.edu/essicseminarsite\nESSIC Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/user/ESSICUMD\nESSIC Twitter: http://twitter.com/ESSICUMD\nESSIC Facebook: http://facebook.com/ESSICUMD\nESSIC seminar coordinator: Dr. John Yang, jxyang@umd.edu\nContact coordinator for subscribing email announcement or giving a talk\n \n
URL:https://essic.umd.edu/events/the-mjo-and-equatorial-waves-in-the-cfsv2/
ORGANIZER;CN=John Xun Yang:MAILTO:jxyang@umd.edu
CATEGORIES:Summer 2019
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