University of Maryland

North Pacific Rages On

UMD/ESSIC/CISESS GOES-R Satellite Liaison for NWS WPC

The North Pacific Basin continues to be extremely active and dangerous to mariners as the calendar heads into November. The first half of the week featured two storm-force lows, one in the Gulf of Alaska, one in the Bering Sea, while a hurricane-force low pushed toward the Aleutians for the latter half. On 28 October 2024, Anchorage, AK, received its first inch of snowfall of the season, as the first system pushed northeast near Kodiak Island as a 992 mb gale-force low.

Figure 1: NWS OPC Surface Analysis valid 0000 UTC 29 October 2024.
Figure 1: NWS OPC Surface Analysis valid 0000 UTC 29 October 2024.

CrIS 6.9 um (ABI Mid-Level Water Vapor Band) imagery from ~0000 UTC 29 October 2024 to ~0000 UTC 30 October 2024, showed the evolution of the two extratropical cyclones, both of which were strengthening, with well-defined frontal features and dry, descending air pushing toward the respective circulations. CrIS imagery helps fill the void of geostationary imagery, specifically at the high latitudes where parallax also becomes a large issue, by averaging many bands of the hyperspectral sounder that provide temperature and moisture information.

Figure 2: CrIS 6.9 um Mid-Level Water Vapor imagery valid ~0000 UTC 29 October 2024 to ~0000 UTC 30 October 2024. From CIRA Slider
Figure 2: CrIS 6.9 um Mid-Level Water Vapor imagery valid ~0000 UTC 29 October 2024 to ~0000 UTC 30 October 2024. From CIRA Slider

GOES-West Full Disk AirMass RGB imagery valid 1600 UTC to 2250 UTC 29 October 2024 also captured the two extratropical cyclones, with stratosphreic intrusions of high Potential Vorticity air lining up well with the dry air seen in the CrIS Mid-Level Water Vapor imagery. It’s quite notable for the Gulf of Alaska low that the dark red and orange colors (high potential vorticity) never fully wrap around the circulation of the system, possibly explaining why the system never fully reached hurricane-force strength.

Figure 3: GOES-West Full Disk AirMass RGB imagery valid 1600 UTC to 2250 UTC 29 October 2024. Credit: NESDIS/STAR
Figure 3: GOES-West Full Disk AirMass RGB imagery valid 1600 UTC to 2250 UTC 29 October 2024. Credit: NESDIS/STAR

RadarSat Constellation Mission-2 (RCM-2) SAR RCM provided Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Winds with a spatial resolution of 500-m at ~1649 UTC 29 October 2024 surrounding Kodiak Island, AK. Wind speeds exceeded 40 kts., and the effects of the terrain are evident.

Figure 4: RCM-2 SAR Imagery valid ~1649 29 October 2024. RADARSAT Constellation Mission Imagery Copyright Government of Canada 2024. RADARSAT is an official mark of the Canadian Space Agency. Credit: NESDIS/STAR
Figure 4: RCM-2 SAR Imagery valid ~1649 29 October 2024. RADARSAT Constellation Mission Imagery Copyright Government of Canada 2024. RADARSAT is an official mark of the Canadian Space Agency. Credit: NESDIS/STAR

A Metop-C/ASCAT pass around ~2000 UTC 29 October 2024 confirmed the system reached storm-force, with winds in excess of 50 kts. north of the circulation center and near the southern end of Kodiak Island.

Figure 5: Metop-C/ASCAT pass valid ~2000 UTC 29 October 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 5: Metop-C/ASCAT pass valid ~2000 UTC 29 October 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.

The strong northwest flow was able to cause sea spray, as was observed by the Sea Spray RGB. JPSS/VIIRS provides the Sea Spray RGB at a high resolution of 375-m, making it easy to pick out sea spray with its medium cyan-gray color, with cloud streets developing downstream. While the GOES Sea Spray RGB has a coarser spatial resolution, the timely 10-minute observations allow the user to see the movement of the sea spray in realtime.

Figure 6: JPSS/VIIRS Sea Spray RGB valid at 2055 UTC 29 October 2024. Courtesy of Bill Line. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 6: JPSS/VIIRS Sea Spray RGB valid at 2055 UTC 29 October 2024. Courtesy of Bill Line. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 7: GOES-West Sea Spray RGB imagery from ~2100 UTC to ~2300 UTC 29 October 2024. From CIRA Slider
Figure 7: GOES-West Sea Spray RGB imagery from ~2100 UTC to ~2300 UTC 29 October 2024. From CIRA Slider

Buoy #46080, located east of Kodiak Island, had photographs taken at 2310 UTC 29 October 2024, capturing the massive waves. The pressure at the buoy bottomed out around 29.00″ of Hg, or 982 mb, shortly before 1200 UTC 29 October 2024, while winds peaked after 0300 UTC 30 October 2024, sustained over 40 kts., with gusts near 60 kts.

Figure 8: Buoy 46080 Location east of Kodiak Island, AK. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 8: Buoy 46080 Location east of Kodiak Island, AK. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 9: NDBC Buoy 46080 captures large waves at 2310 UTC 29 Octobet 2024. Image Credit: NOAA/NWS/NDBC
Figure 9: NDBC Buoy 46080 captures large waves at 2310 UTC 29 Octobet 2024. Image Credit: NOAA/NWS/NDBC
Figure 10: NDBC Buoy 46080 station observations from 0000 UTC 28 October to ~1300 UTC 01 November 2024. Image Credit: NOAA/NWS/NDBC
Figure 10: NDBC Buoy 46080 station observations from 0000 UTC 28 October to ~1300 UTC 01 November 2024. Image Credit: NOAA/NWS/NDBC

A Metop-B/ASCAT pass in the western Bering Sea at 2347 UTC 29 October 2024 observed the second storm-force low with wind speeds in excess of 50 kts. south of the circulation. OPC Surface Analysis valid 0000 UTC 30 October 2024 had the extratropical cyclone with a minimum central pressure of 952 mb.

Figure 11: Metop-B/ASCAT pass valid 2347 UTC 29 October 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 11: Metop-B/ASCAT pass valid 2347 UTC 29 October 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 12: OPC Surface Analysis valid 0000 UTC 30 October 2024.

OPC North Pacific Sea-State Analysis showcased the massive significant wave heights across the North Pacific, reaching 11.5 meters in the western Bering Sea, and 9.5 meters in the southern Gulf of Alaska. A Sentinel-6a pass at ~0730 UTC 30 October 2024, confirmed significant wave heights in excess of 37 feet in the southeast quadrant of the Bering Sea low.

Figure 13: OPC Sea-State Analysis valid 0000 October 30 2024.
Figure 14: Sentinel-6a Significant Wave Height observations overlaid on GOES-West Proxyvis imagery valid ~0730 UTC 30 October 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.

The strongest system of the week came on Halloween as a Hurricane-force low developed in the Central Northern Pacific at 1200 UTC 31 October 2024. GOES-West Full Disk Air Mass RGB imagery from ~0630 UTC to ~1230 UTC 01 November 2024, showed the hurricane-force low pushing towards the Aleutians with a banded cloud-head near the tail-end of the occluded front, and orange and red colors, signals for very intense extratropical cyclones.

Figure 15: NWS OPC Surface Analysis valid 1200 UTC 31 October 2024.
Figure 16: GOES-West Full Disk Air Mass RGB imagery valid ~0630 UTC to ~1230 UTC 01 November 2024. This animation was exported from AWIPS, and can be shared upon request.

Significant wave heights observed by the Cryosat-2/SIRAL altimeter eclipsed 40 feet in the southwest quadrant at ~0600 UTC 01 November 2024. In addition, though the Metop-B/ASCAT wind retrievals were rain-flagged for two consecutive passes at 0711 UTC and 0851 UTC 01 November 2024, wind speeds near 70 kts. were found south of the circulation.

Figure 17: Cryosat-2 altimeter significant wave height observations overlaid on GOES-West Proxyvis imagery at ~0600 UTC 01 November 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Figure 18: Metop-B ASCAT passes at 0711 UTC and 0851 UTC 01 November 2024. This image was exported from AWIPS.
Picture of Christopher Smith

Christopher Smith

Christopher Smith joined ESSIC/CISESS, University of Maryland in 2023 and is the GOES-R Satellite Liaison for the NWS Weather and Ocean Prediction Centers. Smith works to interpret experimental satellite imagery and products, and make such products available to forecasters and the NWS for a route to operations. He trains forecasters how to use satellite imagery in weather forecasting, while also delivering forecaster feedback to satellite developers to maximize meteorological satellite capabilities. Smith is an alumni of the UMD Atmospheric & Oceanic Science (AOSC) Department, and his long-term interests include infusing AI-Satellite Products to increase lead time in decision making for forecasters.